There have been a spate of tweets and posts pointing out that the decline in India’s share of world GDP from 1700 onwards is proof that the Moghuls looted India.
The term “Moghul” is a code word for Muslims. The allegation is that Muslims took Hindu wealth and women and exported them out to Central Asia, and that is the reason India is so poor.
This allegation is wrong and illogical on so many counts – but it is proof of our times that perfectly intelligent people give credence to this allegation and let it fuel their Hindu anger against the Muslim.
I am no economist but I used whatever knowledge I learnt in business school all those years ago with some facts and analysis in the hope that I can convince a few people how wrong this view is.
GDP – or Gross Domestic Product – is the sum of Consumer Spending, Investment, and Government Spending in a year. Or GDP = C + I + G. To track these figures, you need a systematic mechanism to collect and collate data. Assuming you have such a mechanism, you need to make sure the data is collected properly, that you remove any double counting etc. Statisticians use sampling methods, secondary data (for example annual reports of companies, etc) to try and find the right values for C and I. Even so, the process is fraught with controversy. Methodology changes have huge political implications – as we have seen in India’s own case.
There was no such mechanism available until a hundred years ago in most economies. Prior to that, zero.
However economic historians have been studying how to measure the growth of the world economy using secondary and tertiary methods. The doyen in this field was the late Prof Angus Maddison, who researched and wrote on the subject of historical GDP growth at the University of Groningen. His curiosity on the subject arose from an inquiry into why poor countries are poor. His work on the subject is now a reference, and it is from his work that these GDP numbers are quoted.
Before I go ahead and quote these numbers to you, let me state the caveats that need to accompany them.
First, how do you assign a base value for comparison when no method for collection and analysis of GDP growth data existed credibly before the 1930s? Maddison’s approach is to assign a value of $400 (in 1990 prices) for GDP per capita per annum in all the countries under consideration for the period before 1000 CE. He assumes this is the minimum subsistence wage level and that this did not grow for a long time until the Industrial Revolution began. He does not say how he came up with this number. For purposes of argument let us accept this number as the base.
Second, how did he arrive at the numbers for the years under review? He has been criticized for how he got these numbers in the first place. It is never clearly explained. “Fictive” is the word used by one of his critics. From 1820 onwards, when there is more data available, there is economic growth. From here on one can track the Industrial Revolution and other modern factors that affect GDP. There is a detailed criticism available of Maddison’s methods which is cited below in references.
I culled out some of these figures and they are in the table below. My apologies that the figures are hard to see.
The GDP numbers are quoted in Purchasing Power Parity terms, in Simplistically, this approach takes into account how much it costs to buy the same basket of goods in a country, in that country’s currency. It is indicative of living standards and purchasing power. Given that there were no formal currencies in, say, 1500 CE that were tradable worldwide, this is the most reliable mechanism rather than Nominal GDP.
Here is what I see.
- India’s GDP and share of world GDP grew from 1600 to 1700 largely under the hated Moghuls (from $74bn to $91bn, from 22% to 24%).
- From 1700 to 1820, India’s GDP increases (from $91bn to $114bn) and world share falls (from 24% to 16.4%).
- At the same time, World GDP increases (from $371bn to $695bn), the figures for Western Europe rises ($81bn to 160bn) and UK in particular (from $11bn to $36bn). China rises from $83bn to $229bn at the same time.
- Note the grand entry of the United States, which goes from close to zero in 1700 to $13bn in 1820.
- From 1820 to 1913, world GDP almost quadruples from $695bn to $2723bn. In the same period, the United States surges forward from $13bn to $517bn, the United Kingdom from $36bn to $225bn – a huge jump. India barely doubles – from $114bn to $204bn, and its relative share therefore falling to 7.46%
- By 1950 – and two world wars later – the United States has jumped from $517bn in 1913 to $1456bn and its share from 19% to 28%. The United Kingdom has increased from $225bn to $304bn – a very slow increase – and its share falls from 8.23% to 6.53%. India goes from $204bn to $222bn – practically stagnant – and its share of world GDP falls to 4.16%.
Let us pause and ponder what happened at this time, in India and elsewhere
The Mughal dynasty effectively collapsed in 1707 with the death of Aurangzeb. Years of fratricidal war and the pernicious actions of the Sayyid brothers took their toll.
In 1737, Nadir Shah mounted his first disastrous raid on Delhi. There were other raids, by Ahmed Shah Abdali. In one of these raids, 28,000 camels accompanied Abdali to Kabul filled with jewels and precious stones from Delhi.
The Marathas, taking advantage of the power vacuum, quickly created their confederacy. The confederacy could never settle down to build a stable state due to being in a constant state of war.
The British East India Company, also taking advantage of the power vacuum, and having on their side access to money from trade and from the London markets, and a superbly trained military, decided to become landowners instead of merely mediating in disputes between princes. By 1820, Maratha power was destroyed and the British were in control.
The United States, having shaken off the British, were starting to industrialise, expand its territories and grow.
The capital from India and elsewhere fuelled the Industrial Revolution in England by the end of the century, laying grounds for the growth of incomes and wealth.
China – the way to make sense of it is that it continued to be a unitary trading state growing wealthy thanks to European trade, but it did not modernise.
Between 1820 to 1913, the explosive growth of the world economy can be directly attributed to the Industrial Revolution, feeding on capital captured from colonial rule, and creating great wealth. While India’s GDP grew, we were now a colonial economy that existed for the enjoyment of our colonial ruler. By this time India had lost all her manufacturing capability. It would not come back in full measure until 1941, when the Americans forced the British to enable Indian industrialists to set up plants to make planes, jeeps, railway equipment etc to feed the war effort.
This is the analysis relevant to us. When I read it, it seems perfectly obvious to me and I cannot understand what leads people to believe that the disastrous slide into poverty and dependency was due to the Moghuls. Or that the share of world GDP fell not just because of our enslavement by the British, but that we missed out on the Industrial Revolution (also thanks to colonial rule!). Any efforts at proto-industrialisation that seems to have begun under the last stages of Mughal rule were ended by colonial rule.
The Mughal Empire was the richest entity of its like in the world between the 16th and 18th centuries. This was why the British came – because the country was wealthy. Trade was largely done and controlled by the Hindu merchant class who took advantage of a relatively well-developed economic environment to make money. The rulers built roads, there was a system of exchange, there were no internal tolls and tariffs. In fact the first British Ambassador to the Moghul court, Sir Thomas Roe, remarked on the insistence of Hindu merchants to take only gold for payment with the words “Europe bleedeth to enrich Asia”. The systematic destruction of the administrative apparatus that existed during Mughal times to facilitate a colonial command-and-control economy suited for exploitation has been very well documented.
Why promote this absolutely daft assertion that the Mughals looted India? The Kohinoor did not leave India until British rule. The systematic looting of Delhi by the Afghans is well known. Every British chancer who came to India left with huge amount of money and gold, so much so that each such man “was amazed at his own modesty”.
History is being rewritten in the service of a pernicious political narrative that is currently making the rounds. That the Muslim is not Indian and that the greatest Indian dynasty before the British were not Indian – just a bunch of thieves. I make no excuse for the Mughals and their many excesses and extravagances. Such as the need to build a huge and expensive tomb for one of Shah Jehan’s queens, the money for which must obviously have come out of taxes. Or Aurangzeb’s puritanical ways.
But they did not loot India and send our wealth abroad.
1) “Contours of the World Economy 1-2030AD” by Angus Maddison
2) A review of the above available here: faculty.econ.ucdavis.edu/faculty/gclark/Book_Reviews/Maddison.pdf
3) Rana Safvi: “No, The Mughals did not loot India” available here:https://www.dailyo.in/politics/mughals-contribution-indian-economy-rich-culture-tourism-british/story/1/19549.html
4) “India Conquered” – Jon Wilson, Simon & Schuster 2016.
6 thoughts on “Did the Mughals loot India?”
What has prompted you to post on an obscure topic like this ?
The Mughals to varying degrees discriminated against the Hindus and that is probably the source of angst. Whether they did it economically or socially or religiously or all of them doesn’t prick my interest. I am perfectly willing to accept your contention that economically they didn’t impoverish India.
But I have a major issue to take with your assertion that you attained some knowledge of economics in business school. If I remember right, during the economics classes, and especially in relation to economic policy, your attentions were rightfully centred on a certain charming lass 🙂
Dear Ramesh – I have been getting these provocative messages from good friends of ours from IIMA who ought to know better – that falling share of world GDP is proof that the Mughals looted India. I wrote this with sarcastic intent – to show them that this cannot be the case if you applied some logic and some knowledge of economics to the problem statement.
As for the lovely Miss C____ G_____, whose pulchritude and charm bewitched us while we were struggling to understand Prof Samuel Paul explaining Incremental Capital Output Ratios….Ah! God is Great! Subhanallah!
You know Ravi. I am labelling you as a tiresome friend. Do you know why? Its simply because everytime you blog on something, I am compelled out of curiousity to do some background reading online, which is fine if the topics cover issues that interest me. So far, they have only skirted these. At best, I have become a tiny bit more knowledgeable. So upon you, I bestow the dubious honour of expanding my horizons, albeit reluctantly. Right. Back to the issue at hand. Obviously the biggest looters were the colonial masters as they are referred to here. So without going into the whys and wherefores of Mughal looting (or not), my stand is India, with its vast wealth of treasues would have bern looted anyway because in those days looting was the order of the day. The powerful… looted! At best or at worst, the rich and powerful in India would have been the looters themselves.At least India can pride itself on being the looted rather than being disgraced as the ones who looted others and became rich at their ecpense!. Besides, the reason that there is such a hoo ha about the Mughals looting is obviously to stoke a fire. Pure misschief!!
Hi Met, thanks for visiting and leaving a reply! I take what you write as a compliment – there is so much to know and understand, and it is a fascinating world for the curious. Merci Beaucoup Madame!
You are not far wrong – about the looting. Indian rulers regularly raided and looted other Indian rulers. According to historians of early India – like Prof Romila Thapar and Prof Upinder Singh – not only was raiding and looting common, even temple destruction was common. Prof Thapar wrote a book called “Somanatha” about 20 years ago wherein she showed that the famous Somnath Temple was repeatedly destroyed by Hindu Kings (as well as Muslim invaders). She got into a lot of trouble with the nationalists for saying that.
There is a lot of post-facto rage in India. I call it post-facto rage because people today are railing against the crimes and acts of the ancestors of those here today. It is extremely disturbing to see this, and I wonder how long India’s secular fabric will stand the strain. And this is world wide. At least, nothing in India is anything like yesterday’s rally in North Carolina for Donald Trump, where a baying mob called for the Representative of Somali origin to be expelled, while a beaming Donald Trump stood and swayed with pride.
Yes, the brouhaha is all about the politics of hatred–to add fuel to the anti-Muslim sentiments among India’s Hindus. And I am sure there are plenty who will gladly and eagerly join the hysterical mobs that will pursue Muslims for whatever reasons.
I have never had any problems with any of the Muslim invaders of the old days because, yes, invasions and wars were how most humans seemed to have lived for a loooooong time.
I recall visiting a UN Heritage site in Thailand that had the remnants of the old temple and Buddha statues. Many of the Buddha statues had no heads or no arms. The invaders had destroyed them. And who were the invaders? From Burma–who were also Buddhists!!! To invade and destroy was the order of the day until a couple of centuries ago.
In fact, what I liked about the descendants of Babur was that they simply did not invade, plunder, and rape, and then go back. Nope. They became a part of the land. They made it their home. They adapted to the culture, and also added to it. The Mughals did not loot India.
When I was in India recently, I attended a talk by Audrey Truschke. She is an Indologist and an Aurangzeb expert. One of the many comments that she made was about the charge that Aurangzeb destroyed many Hindu temples. She provided evidence on how he did not, and how Aurangzeb in fact made sure some of the important ones were well preserved. Some of the responses from the crowd were hilarious but tragic. Just as it was with Wendy Doniger, Truschke faced the charge of “whitesplaining” as if Indian history can be understood and interpreted only by home-grown Hindus who swear allegiance to a particular political party!!!
My problem has always been with the European colonial masters. These European masters, unlike the invading Mughals, come with the sole purpose of raiding, plundering, and religious conversions. And when they were done, they went back to their lands. The development of underdevelopment was systematic and awful under the colonial masters–all the way until the very end under cHurchill. It was in the 18th and 19th centuries that India’s scientific, technological, and economic output shrank–the Mughals did not cause this.
Thank you for visiting and leaving a comment!
The case of Audrey Truschke is quite sad. The original estimate of the number of Hindu temples destroyed by Islamic invaders and rulers was made by the historian Richard Eaton in 2006. He searched all possible records to produce a list of some 200 instances of temple destruction, of which Aurangzeb was responsible for 15. The figure claimed by Hindu nationalists is close to 47,000 with Aurangzeb doing 15,000 or so. There is no proof for their claims. Truschke used this plus her impressive research into primary sources to show that there was a lot of bad to Aurangzeb but there was also good. It was a mixed bag, a vast grey area.
Grey areas do not sit well with fundamentalists of any religion. Her scholarship is impressive. None of her detractors – including people like Mohandas Pai and Rajiv Mehrotra – have any scholarship to speak of. She reads Sanskrit, Urdu, Persian and Hindi. How cool is that!
The abuse she has been getting is anti-feminist, anti-Semitic and racist. As Hindus we should be ashamed of this. Most of my elite friends however think this is fair game.
It is true she now inserts herself into areas she should not be venturing into, and this irritates me because, while she has every right to speak her mind, intervening in explosive political issues in India while sitting at Rutgers University feeds into the ‘whitesplaining’ allegation. She also once used rank Western terms to describe what Sita said when Rama, after rescuing her from the clutches of Ravana, suspects her fidelity and asks her to prove it. It was not mala fide but a misjudgement. I do not hold any of these against her.
And of course, we all know of the abuse Wendy Doniger and Sheldon Pollack suffer from. David Shulman has not yet suffered this abuse – and I think that is probably because he knows more gutter Tamil.
We are becoming a thin-skinned, humorless people.